Budgeting & Forecasting › Capital Budgeting

What is sensitivity analysis in capital budgeting and how is it interpreted?

Intermediate

Answer

Sensitivity analysis flexes one input at a time (sales, price, cost, discount rate, life) to see how much each can change before NPV becomes zero (the breakeven), identifying the variables the decision is most sensitive to. Highly sensitive variables warrant closer estimation and risk management.
NPV falls to zero if sales volume drops 8% -> volume is a key sensitivity.
Real-world example Sensitivity analysis reveals the project's NPV is most vulnerable to the sales-price assumption.

Common follow-ups: What does the breakeven point show? | Why focus on sensitive variables?